Surveys show two-thirds of Washington leaders support raising the nation’s debt ceiling, yet about 47 percent of the general public opposes it. The answer for the gap may lie in how experts and the public approach problems — and in the high number of “don’t knows.”
Whatever you think about Washington’s budget debate, there’s no question the fiscal focus inside the Beltway has shifted – and this new survey from Public Agenda shows how. Concern about the nation’s finances has more than doubled among “movers and shakers.” In fact with this group it’s on a par with the economy as “the most important problem” facing the country.
How did we get here? A decade ago, the budget agencies were projecting huge surpluses, now we face a national debt that all the experts agree is “unsustainable.” We’re always talking about the choices involved in getting out of our fiscal problems; now the fiscal program at the Pew Charitable Trusts as come up with a chart showing the choices that got us into it in the first place.
The decision by bond rating agency Standard and Poor’s to have a “negative outlook” for Treasury bonds caused a slump in the stock market, but the stock market wasn’t the target: it was Washington. And in Washington, not much immediately seemed to change.
There’s a surge of articles today arguing that “doing nothing” might do as much to solve our fiscal problems as any of the plans on the table. The problem is that this defines “something” and “nothing” in purely Beltway terms. The public’s going to have to do a lot of heavy lifting either way, and someone’s going to have to persuade them that it’s necessary.
The smart money seems to believe President Obama will endorse the so-called Simpson-Bowles plan tomorrow, more or less. Since a large part of the reaction when the plan was first proposed was to the effect that it would never fly, that’s an advance. But whether the plan should fly is another question. Time to get prepped.
There’s an enormous amount being written about the House Republican budget plan and its plan to turn Medicare into a voucher system. In all that analysis, however, it’s the staid Congressional Budget Office that makes the basic tradeoff in the plan completely clear: we would control our unsustainable debt by asking seniors to pay more for health care. In the end, its up to the public whether that’s a tradeoff they want to make.
The House Republican budget plan is expected to propose the most sweeping overhauls of Medicare and Medicaid since they were first set up in the 1960s. If you’re going to keep up, you’d better get briefed. We’ve got suggestions for you.
The Tax Foundation’s “Tax Freedom Day” calculation has been a staple of tax policy — and debate — for a long time now. The latest calculation is April 12. But tax rates and total amounts paid are only part of the tax puzzle we’ve got to solve.
The media coverage is getting more pessimistic about Congress’ ability to come up with a budget deal and avoid a government shutdown before the April 8 deadline. But April 8 isn’t the date we should be worried about.